Be INFORMED

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Obama Beats McCain In Polling Match-ups: Still Has More Work To Do

  This from MSNBC

       In the head-to-head matchup, Obama leads McCain among African Americans (83-7 percent), Hispanics (62-28), women (52-33), Catholics (47-40), independents (41-36) and even blue-collar workers (47-42). Obama is also ahead among those who said they voted for Clinton in the Democratic primaries (61-19).

  That's a pretty damned good showing for Barack Obama over that old, live in the past, John McCain. It is noted though that Obama still has a few important areas to improve in, mainly white men who favor McCain ( 55-35 ), and white suburban women which McCain has the lead by 44-38 percent. Those will continue to be two tough areas for Barack Obama.

              However, Obama has a seven-point advantage (46-39) among all white women. How important is that lead? Newhouse explains that Republican candidates always expect to win white men by a substantial margin, but it is white women that usually decide the race. “If a Republican wins among white women, we usually win that election,” he says, noting that George W. Bush carried that group in 2000 and 2004.

  So what do the voters say that they want?

           In the survey, 54 percent say that they’re looking for a new president who would bring greater changes to current policies, even if that person is less experienced and tested. By contrast, 42 percent say they’d rather have a more experienced and tested person become president, even if that means fewer changes to current policies.

Moreover, 59 percent say it's more important to have a president who will focus on progress and moving America forward, versus 37 percent who would rather the president protect what has made America great.

“Voters are not convinced that McCain represents the change they want and that he’ll be all that different from Bush.” Indeed, according to the poll, 48 percent say it’s likely that Obama will be real change to the country. Just 21 percent say that of McCain.

   And last but not least, this bit of info.

     Fifty-four percent of the respondents in the poll — no matter whom they are voting for — believe that Obama will win in November. Only 30 percent think McCain will win.

  McCain has his work cut out for him along with Obama. The difference is, McCain is climbing up a very steep hill and it gets rockier for him every time that he opens his mouth. Keep up the good work, John-Boy!

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