Be INFORMED

Friday, August 29, 2008

Barack Obama Campaign: Statistics

  First off, Barack Obama's acceptance speech on Thursday night garnered 38.4 million viewers according to  Nielsen Co., beating out such highly viewed events such as the Olympics in China, and the final "American Idol". That's pretty impressive folks!

  On the upwards bounce in Obama's polling numbers,Rasmussen tells us:

Obama’s four-point lead reported on Friday morning is based on polling data collected Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday nights. Virtually all of the interviews were completed before Obama’s acceptance speech and it is impossible to tell what will happen next. Normally, the bounce would continue for a few days. But, this year, with McCain’s VP announcement and the Republican convention happening so quickly, we are in uncharted territory.

Still, here are some different ways of looking at Obama’s bounce:

· Obama’s pre-convention lead of three points has increased by a point. That’s something John Kerry failed to accomplish. His polling numbers peaked just before the convention in 2004.

· But, Obama is still below his biggest lead of the year—six points—which he achieved with the bounce from his Berlin speech and surrounding hoopla.

· Obama has gained three percentage points compared to a week ago.

· Obama is now supported by 83% of Democrats, up from 79% a week ago.

· Sixty-six percent (66%) of Democrats have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama, up from 58% a week ago.

· Thirty-five percent (35%) of all voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama, up from 32% a week ago.

Of course, some of the bounce comes from changing perceptions of John McCain. A week ago, Obama and McCain were both viewed favorably by 55% of voters nationwide. Today, Obama is viewed favorably by 56% (up a point) while McCain’s favorable fell by two points to 53%. That’s McCain’s lowest rating since July 8.

  Let us not forget John McCain's pick for V.P. who has her own little scandal going on up in Alaska. Only a Republican would pick a running mate who may be in legal trouble. What an idiot!

    And last but not least, it seems that out in the South West, Obama is killing McCain when it comes to the support of the Latino voters.

    Democracy Corps

Barack Obama holds a commanding lead among Hispanics in the southwest.� The presumptive Democratic nominee leads John McCain by 45 points in Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada, according to the latest Democracy Corps survey of Hispanic voters.

Obama has said all along that Hispanic voters would embrace him as they got to know him better, and that is proving to be the case. In our January poll, 83 percent of Hispanic voters in the southwest were able to identify Obama, and twice as many gave him a positive rating as a negative one. Today, his identification is nearly universal (96 percent), and his positive ratings outnumber his negative by three times. The share of people who give him a positive rating has risen by nearly 50 percent in that time, while the number who gives him a negative rating has barely budged.

  On the McCain side of the equation...

    Only 1 in 5 Hispanic voters approve of George Bush’s performance as president, and 3 of 5 believe that McCain will continue Bush’s policies.

...He is not connecting with Latino voters, as only a third say he “understands the concerns of the Hispanic community,” and only 9 percent say that phrase describes him very well.

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